Space missions are not like date night.
My wife and I often get to town before knowing what restaurant we’ll choose. It’s no big deal — we know we’ll find a table somewhere..
But space missions are planned around knowing where they are going.
If a space agency like NASA or ESA (or JAXA or CNSA) is going to spend millions or even billions of dollars or euros (or yen or yuan) to build a spacecraft, it should have a destination right from the start, shouldn’t it?
In the past few years there have been missions to the Moon, to other planets, asteroids, the outer Solar System, and comets. All these missions had destinations in advance.
But what happens when a once-in-a-lifetime target zooms by and there is almost no time to prepare?
This happened in October 2017 when ‘Oumuamua zoomed by:
We would have loved to take a closer look at ‘Oumuamua. But we couldn’t. There was nowhere near enough time to propose a space mission, get it approved and funded, then build and launch the space craft. Bummer.
Enter a new concept: the intercept.
Imagine that ‘Oumuamua was discovered a bit earlier than it actually was, a few months before its closest pass to Earth. And let’s also assume that a spacecraft was ready and waiting in orbit near Earth (likely in Earth’s L1 or L2 Lagrange point).
Reacting quickly and with relatively low thrust, the spacecraft could have been launched onto an orbit to intercept ‘Oumuamua. The actual intercept could have happened just a week after ‘Oumuamua’s actual discovery in Oct 2017:
It takes years to conceive and build a spacecraft. The Cassini mission to Saturn took 16 years from conception to launch! NASA’s New Horizons mission took five. NASA’s Lucy and Psyche missions — selected in 2017 — are both scheduled to take 4-5 years to launch.
An object like ‘Oumuamua would be long gone if we had to wait 4-5 weeks from discovery to launch, let alone 4-5 years. The only way to reach it is to be ready and waiting when the object is discovered.
The plan is to have a spacecraft ready when the next exciting object zooms past. But what type of object might that be?
An interstellar object like ‘Oumuamua would be spectacular. But there are two issues. First, we don’t know how many are out there. It might be a month before the next one is found, or 10 years. Second, they move really fast. Because of fuel constraints only a fraction of ‘Oumuamua-like orbits are interceptable.
The most likely target for Comet Interceptor is an Oort cloud comet. Specifically, a dynamically new comet.
This type of comet has been stranded in the Oort cloud for billions of years. The Oort cloud was created by Jupiter scattering out planet leftovers (“planetesimals“) early in Solar System history. Unlike the planets, asteroid belt and Kuiper belt, the Oort cloud is not at all confined to a plane but is fully 3-dimensional:
Dynamically new comets make great targets. They are making their first pass close to the Sun in billions of years. And, unlike interstellar objects, we know how many dynamically new comets are out there. Several new ones are found every year.
Comet 67P came from the Kuiper belt. It had spent thousands of years inside Jupiter’s orbit, but only a couple centuries close enough to the Sun to vaporize water. Part of the reason it was chosen as a target was because its surface was relatively “fresh” and had not been cooked by the Sun for too long.
A dynamically new comet from the Oort cloud — on its first pass close to the sun in billions of years — would be super-fresh! It is a window into the early Solar System.
Oort cloud comets are the most active comets, producing bright comas and tails. Comet Hale-Bopp dropped by from the Oort cloud in 1997:
The intense activity of Oort cloud comets comes from ices on their surfaces that are heated up and vaporized. This stuff has been in deep freeze since shortly after the Solar System formed.
What would an intercept of an Oort cloud comet look like?
Comet Interceptor is a fly-by mission. The plan is to cross the comet’s path and gather as much information as possible in a short window of time. Unlike Rosetta, the spacecraft cannot match speeds with the comet and spend months in orbit. (The fuel requirements would require a larger spacecraft, which would make it a billion-dollar-scale mission).
NASA’s New Horizons mission showed that a fly-by can generate a ton of new science. New Horizons zoomed by Pluto and gathered almost all its data in a single day! Then it did the same again when it flew by Ultima Thule. It was spectacular.
To get the most out of its fly-by, Comet Interceptor plans to deploy two (or more) extra mini-spacecraft.
That way it can have multiple instruments taking measurements of the comet (or interstellar object if we’re lucky) at the same time!
The main goal of the mission is simply to determine what the object looks like. A lot of the mystery surrounding ‘Oumuamua’s origins would be easily resolved if we just had a photo from up close.
Comet Interceptor can do a lot more science than just take photos! It will address questions like:
- What is this object’s isotopic “fingerprint” (in particular with regards to water and Nitrogen), and how does it compare with Earth’s?
- What is the 3-dimensional structure of a cometary activity in terms of gas, dust, and plasma?
- What do the object’s constituent particles (dust, pebbles, boulders) look like? These should be the same types of particles that built the planets.
Addressing any of these questions would be a big (scientific) step forward.
Comet Interceptor is an international collaboration. Parts of each of the three spacecraft can be built by different countries. This means that many different countries within the European Union (and the world) can participate. Here is the breakdown of who is building what:
Plus, the Comet Interceptor science team includes experts from across the globe (including me!).
When do we find out if Comet Interceptor is a go?
There are six competing F-class proposals. ESA should announce their decision by summer 2019. Fingers crossed!
When and how will Comet Interceptor launch?
ESA’s Ariel mission — to study the atmospheres of exoplanets — is scheduled to launch in 2028. It has some extra space in its launch vehicle. Comet Interceptor is designed to squeeze into that extra space:
If the Comet Interceptor mission is selected then it would launch at the same time as Ariel, in 2028 or so.
By then we will have had a decade more observations to get a better idea of possible targets. New telescopes like LSST will give us a better idea of how many interstellar objects are out there and whether there is a realistic chance to intercept one. It will also tell us more about what to expect from Oort cloud comets.
Now it’s up to ESA to decide: are you ready to intercept a comet?
UPDATE (June 19, 2019): Great news: ESA has selected Comet Interceptor as its new fast-class mission!
- Comet Interceptor: website, twitter
- Comet Interceptor leads: Geraint Jones and Colin Snodgrass
- ESA‘s Rosetta mission to comet 67P
- NASA‘s New Horizons mission to Pluto and Ultimate Thule
- JAXA‘s Hayabusa2 mission to asteroid Ryugu
- NASA’s OSIRIS-Rex mission to asteroid Bennu
- CNSA‘s Chang’e 4 mission to the Moon
- Origins of interstellar object ‘Oumuamua: new ideas and my model in blog post or video form
- Darryl Seligman’s ‘Oumuamua research page